Downey Allen B.
Downey Allen B. - Probably Overthinking It How To Use Data To Answer Questions Avoid Statistical Traps And Make Better Decisions - Hardcover
Downey Allen B. - Probably Overthinking It How To Use Data To Answer Questions Avoid Statistical Traps And Make Better Decisions - Hardcover
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Binding: Hardcover
Description: An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news reports at the doctor's office and in every sort of forecast from the stock market to the weather. Blogger teacher and computer scientist Allen B. Downey knows well that people have an innate ability both to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. As he makes clear in this accessible introduction to statistical thinking the stakes are big. Simple misunderstandings have led to incorrect medical prognoses underestimated the likelihood of large earthquakes hindered social justice efforts and resulted in dubious policy decisions. There are right and wrong ways to look at numbers and Downey will help you see which are which. Probably Overthinking It uses real data to delve into real examples with real consequences drawing on cases from health campaigns political movements chess rankings and more. He lays out common pitfalls like the base rate fallacy length - biased sampling and Simpson's paradox and shines a light on what we learn when we interpret data correctly and what goes wrong when we don t. Using data visualizations instead of equations he builds understanding from the basics to help you recognize errors whether in your own thinking or in media reports. Even if you have never studied statistics or if you have and forgot everything you learned this book will offer new insight into the methods and measurements that help us understand the world.
Title: Probably Overthinking It How To Use Data To Answer Questions Avoid Statistical Traps And Make Better Decisions
Author(s): Downey Allen B.
Publisher: The University Of Chicago Press
Barcode: 9780226822587
Pages: 256 Pages, 126 Line Drawings, 22 Tables
Publication Date: 12/6/2023
Category: Probability & Statistics
Description: An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news reports at the doctor's office and in every sort of forecast from the stock market to the weather. Blogger teacher and computer scientist Allen B. Downey knows well that people have an innate ability both to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. As he makes clear in this accessible introduction to statistical thinking the stakes are big. Simple misunderstandings have led to incorrect medical prognoses underestimated the likelihood of large earthquakes hindered social justice efforts and resulted in dubious policy decisions. There are right and wrong ways to look at numbers and Downey will help you see which are which. Probably Overthinking It uses real data to delve into real examples with real consequences drawing on cases from health campaigns political movements chess rankings and more. He lays out common pitfalls like the base rate fallacy length - biased sampling and Simpson's paradox and shines a light on what we learn when we interpret data correctly and what goes wrong when we don t. Using data visualizations instead of equations he builds understanding from the basics to help you recognize errors whether in your own thinking or in media reports. Even if you have never studied statistics or if you have and forgot everything you learned this book will offer new insight into the methods and measurements that help us understand the world.
Title: Probably Overthinking It How To Use Data To Answer Questions Avoid Statistical Traps And Make Better Decisions
Author(s): Downey Allen B.
Publisher: The University Of Chicago Press
Barcode: 9780226822587
Pages: 256 Pages, 126 Line Drawings, 22 Tables
Publication Date: 12/6/2023
Category: Probability & Statistics
